Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 51.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Malkin
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Malkin
Reinhart
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
1
Malkin
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Malkin
Reinhart
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
3
Malkin
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
42.5% (2,173)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
46.5% (525)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
41.3% (339)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Malkin
Reinhart
Home
47.6% (5,395)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Malkin
Reinhart
P1
45.9%
44.5%
P2
46.2%
40.5%
P3
45.2%
44.5%
OT
49.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | OT | 02:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |