Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Pinto 50.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 61.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 66.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Malkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Malkin
Pinto
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
3
6
Malkin
Pinto
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Malkin
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.6% (2,716)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.4% (90)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.9% (234)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pinto
Home
47.6% (5,395)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Malkin
Pinto
P1
45.9%
48.3%
P2
46.2%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
50.9%
OT
49.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |