Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Pinto 50.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 54.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 67.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Malkin
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Malkin
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Malkin
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Malkin
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
50.4% (779)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
55.2% (29)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.9% (78)
+55.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Malkin
Pinto
Home
47.5% (326)
52.4% (454)
Away
44.0% (307)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Malkin
Pinto
P1
49.3%
48.1%
P2
44.7%
52.9%
P3
42.3%
49.3%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |