Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Boyd 43.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 53.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 75.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Malkin
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Malkin
Boyd
Last 9: Malkin 7-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
0
Malkin
Boyd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Malkin
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
43.4% (893)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.5% (136)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
34.6% (127)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Malkin
Boyd
Home
52.3% (438)
46.0% (570)
Away
46.2% (418)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Malkin
Boyd
P1
51.3%
38.9%
P2
50.8%
50.4%
P3
45.0%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |