Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.6% vs Kuznetsov 47.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 51.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Grant
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Grant 3-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (99)
47.7% (1,028)
+8.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (94)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Grant is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Grant shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuznetsov
Home
59.5% (37)
49.8% (592)
Away
52.7% (74)
45.5% (545)
By Period
Grant
Kuznetsov
P1
56.7%
49.0%
P2
54.1%
49.3%
P3
54.5%
45.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.0%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |