Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Kuznetsov 44.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 74.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 69.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Grant
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grant
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Grant 1-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Grant
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
44.4% (980)
+9.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
38.7% (31)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Grant has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Kuznetsov is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuznetsov
Home
56.1% (344)
46.4% (491)
Away
49.0% (253)
42.1% (527)
By Period
Grant
Kuznetsov
P1
49.4%
44.8%
P2
56.1%
44.6%
P3
54.0%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |