Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Kuznetsov 47.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 59.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 57.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Kuznetsov
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
47.7% (1,028)
-1.1%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
50.0% (94)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
40.0% (15)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Home
47.7% (555)
49.8% (592)
Away
45.6% (548)
45.5% (545)
By Period
Stepan
Kuznetsov
P1
46.4%
49.0%
P2
45.7%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
45.3%
OT
35.3%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 9, 2016 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |