Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.0% vs 44.8%). Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Compher 45.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 64.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Kuznetsov
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kuznetsov
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Kuznetsov
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
45.5% (782)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
44.2% (77)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
41.7% (180)
-5.3%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Compher
Home
48.6% (370)
44.0% (484)
Away
41.4% (377)
45.4% (555)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Compher
P1
44.3%
46.2%
P2
49.6%
44.8%
P3
41.4%
44.2%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |