Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Benn 54.7% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 69.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Kuznetsov
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kuznetsov
Benn
Last 7: Kuznetsov 2-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
3
Kuznetsov
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Kuznetsov
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
55.3% (709)
-12.0%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
58.3% (127)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
47.3% (55)
-6.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Benn
Home
43.9% (602)
56.2% (443)
Away
43.1% (564)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Benn
P1
43.2%
55.4%
P2
41.5%
54.1%
P3
45.2%
55.6%
OT
55.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |