Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Beagle 55.9% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 89.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 67.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Kuznetsov
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kuznetsov
Beagle
Last 6: Kuznetsov 2-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
4
Kuznetsov
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
57.2% (353)
-13.9%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
87.5% (16)
-40.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
51.6% (95)
-10.8%
On power play, Beagle has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Beagle
Home
43.9% (602)
62.0% (200)
Away
43.1% (564)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Beagle
P1
43.2%
55.8%
P2
41.5%
60.1%
P3
45.2%
54.5%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |