Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Dach 37.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 57.4%
Defensive zone
Dach 63.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 60.8%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Kuznetsov
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kuznetsov
Dach
Last 8: Kuznetsov 3-5 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
2
Kuznetsov
Dach
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
3
Kuznetsov
Dach
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
36.5% (1,423)
+7.4%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
35.7% (98)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
36.0% (25)
+2.2%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Dach
Home
44.8% (4,622)
37.0% (857)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Dach
P1
43.6%
35.3%
P2
45.8%
34.5%
P3
42.8%
40.4%
OT
43.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |