Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Dach 35.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 65.8%
Defensive zone
Dach 71.8%
Neutral zone
Dach 54.6%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Kuznetsov
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Dach
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Kuznetsov
Dach
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
2
Kuznetsov
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
32.5% (510)
+10.8%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
36.8% (19)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
37.5% (16)
+3.3%
On even strength, Kuznetsov has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Dach
Home
43.9% (602)
33.5% (278)
Away
43.1% (564)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Dach
P1
43.2%
35.3%
P2
41.5%
30.6%
P3
45.2%
33.7%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |