Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 83.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 74.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Kuznetsov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Kuznetsov
Eller
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
3
Kuznetsov
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
5
Kuznetsov
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
6
Kuznetsov
Eller
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
51.1% (10,296)
-7.2%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
52.8% (621)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
46.7% (1,751)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Eller
Home
44.8% (4,622)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Eller
P1
43.6%
51.2%
P2
45.8%
50.1%
P3
42.8%
50.2%
OT
43.2%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |