Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Eller 52.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 90.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 72.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Kuznetsov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov
Eller
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Kuznetsov
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Kuznetsov
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
52.8% (742)
-8.4%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
67.6% (34)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
46.2% (156)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Eller
Home
48.6% (370)
54.5% (448)
Away
41.4% (377)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Eller
P1
44.3%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
50.9%
P3
41.4%
53.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |