Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.9% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 51.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Kuznetsov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kuznetsov
Eller
Last 8: Kuznetsov 5-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,028)
52.9% (306)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (94)
40.5% (37)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
45.5% (66)
-5.5%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (758).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Eller
Home
49.8% (592)
49.7% (181)
Away
45.5% (545)
51.3% (228)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Eller
P1
49.0%
54.2%
P2
49.3%
46.5%
P3
45.3%
49.6%
OT
40.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |