Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Leo Carlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 57.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 64.2%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
Last 8: Kuznetsov 2-6 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
41.0% (1,844)
+2.9%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
42.9% (154)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
35.0% (120)
+3.2%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
Home
44.8% (4,622)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Carlsson
P1
43.6%
43.3%
P2
45.8%
36.5%
P3
42.8%
43.2%
OT
43.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |