Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Kastelic 56.4% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 94.9%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 69.7%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 86.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
56.8% (1,554)
-12.9%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
80.0% (25)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
53.6% (248)
-15.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kastelic is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Home
44.8% (4,622)
59.0% (870)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
54.6% (957)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
P1
43.6%
58.7%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
42.8%
54.6%
OT
43.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |