Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Mark Kastelic

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mark Kastelic holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Kastelic 56.4% (-12.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kuznetsov 94.9%
Defensive zone Kuznetsov 69.7%
Neutral zone Kuznetsov 86.0%
Result Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kuznetsov Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Kuznetsov Kastelic
Last 9: Kuznetsov 2-7 Kastelic

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Kuznetsov Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Kuznetsov Kastelic
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
56.8% (1,554)
-12.9%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
80.0% (25)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
53.6% (248)
-15.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kastelic is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Home
44.8% (4,622)
59.0% (870)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
54.6% (957)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
P1
43.6%
58.7%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
42.8%
54.6%
OT
43.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
58.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%
44.0%
44.1%
Kastelic
62.0%
62.0%
56.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 17, 2024 3 09:37 Neutral Mark Kastelic
Mar 17, 2024 3 09:30 Defensive Mark Kastelic
Mar 17, 2024 2 03:39 Offensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Mar 17, 2024 1 13:50 Neutral Mark Kastelic
Dec 29, 2022 3 08:24 Defensive Mark Kastelic
Dec 29, 2022 3 05:42 Neutral Mark Kastelic
Dec 29, 2022 2 15:56 Neutral Mark Kastelic
Dec 29, 2022 2 01:44 Offensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Dec 22, 2022 2 10:42 Defensive Mark Kastelic