Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Mark Kastelic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.7%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 62.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 62.3%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
53.4% (337)
-9.0%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
100.0% (4)
-41.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
75.0% (8)
-38.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
Home
48.6% (370)
56.2% (162)
Away
41.4% (377)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Kastelic
P1
44.3%
58.2%
P2
49.6%
58.8%
P3
41.4%
45.4%
Final 5 min
41.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |