Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Necas 46.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 52.9%
Defensive zone
Necas 51.0%
Neutral zone
Necas 60.5%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Kuznetsov
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Necas
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
2
Kuznetsov
Necas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
44.5% (339)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
47.4% (57)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
47.6% (21)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Necas
Home
45.9% (534)
44.8% (203)
Away
49.2% (535)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Necas
P1
44.8%
46.8%
P2
52.1%
40.0%
P3
44.5%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |