Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 66.3%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 64.5%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
Last 6: Kuznetsov 2-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
51.3% (1,096)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
59.9% (157)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
56.9% (58)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
Home
48.6% (370)
54.2% (638)
Away
41.4% (377)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Suzuki
P1
44.3%
51.5%
P2
49.6%
53.3%
P3
41.4%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |