Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.3% vs Nash 50.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 88.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 73.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 88.2%
11.8%
88.2%
Kuznetsov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kuznetsov
Nash
Last 5: Kuznetsov 4-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
1
Kuznetsov
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (613)
50.1% (752)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
53.8% (104)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.9% (102)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nash
Home
43.3% (356)
51.0% (502)
Away
46.2% (325)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nash
P1
45.8%
49.4%
P2
47.3%
50.9%
P3
41.6%
52.1%
OT
14.3%
63.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 02:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |