Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Kuznetsov leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 80.7%
Neutral zone
Nash 65.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Kuznetsov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Kuznetsov
Nash
Last 10: Kuznetsov 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
5
2
Kuznetsov
Nash
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
6
5
Kuznetsov
Nash
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Kuznetsov
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
48.7% (4,621)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
51.0% (249)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
44.9% (550)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,083).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nash
Home
44.8% (4,622)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nash
P1
43.6%
49.0%
P2
45.8%
47.9%
P3
42.8%
48.0%
OT
43.2%
68.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 02:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |