Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 41.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.5% vs Nash 49.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 78.4%
Defensive zone
Nash 62.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 59.1%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kuznetsov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kuznetsov
Nash
Last 6: Kuznetsov 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Kuznetsov
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Kuznetsov
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (962)
50.9% (481)
-8.1%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
27.3% (11)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
40.0% (70)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kuznetsov is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nash is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nash
Home
42.6% (493)
46.5% (282)
Away
45.2% (544)
51.8% (280)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nash
P1
44.0%
48.5%
P2
47.2%
47.3%
P3
40.8%
51.0%
OT
38.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |