Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.7% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 50.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 83.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 71.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Kuznetsov
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kuznetsov
Nash
Last 5: Kuznetsov 4-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
3
0
Kuznetsov
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (980)
47.7% (801)
-3.3%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
51.2% (41)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
52.3% (107)
-9.4%
On power play, Nash has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kuznetsov is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Nash is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Nash
Home
46.4% (491)
50.1% (467)
Away
42.1% (527)
46.7% (482)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Nash
P1
44.8%
52.1%
P2
44.6%
44.9%
P3
44.0%
47.3%
OT
23.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |