Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Hartman 45.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kuznetsov
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kuznetsov
Hartman
Last 7: Kuznetsov 4-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
4
0
Kuznetsov
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Kuznetsov
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Kuznetsov
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
44.8% (936)
-1.5%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
49.4% (154)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
33.3% (54)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Hartman
Home
43.9% (602)
47.4% (568)
Away
43.1% (564)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Hartman
P1
43.2%
47.2%
P2
41.5%
43.4%
P3
45.2%
43.8%
OT
55.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |