Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 42.8% vs Lafferty 51.2% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 79.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 70.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 58.2%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Last 7: Kuznetsov 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
0
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (471)
53.5% (101)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
25.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Lafferty has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kuznetsov is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lafferty is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Home
43.0% (223)
50.0% (62)
Away
40.0% (270)
55.8% (43)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
P1
37.3%
70.0%
P2
40.2%
37.8%
P3
48.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
41.4%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |