Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 73.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 50.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
52.2% (366)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
60.0% (15)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
46.2% (104)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
Home
45.9% (534)
53.1% (258)
Away
49.2% (535)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Lafferty
P1
44.8%
52.5%
P2
52.1%
49.7%
P3
44.5%
51.3%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%