Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 52.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 51.8%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
49.4% (259)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
54.4% (136)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
47.9% (71)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
Home
45.9% (534)
54.9% (235)
Away
49.2% (535)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Reinhart
P1
44.8%
52.3%
P2
52.1%
50.0%
P3
44.5%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |