Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Zegras 39.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 60.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 64.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Last 9: Kuznetsov 3-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Kuznetsov
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Kuznetsov
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
38.6% (1,669)
+5.3%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
38.5% (148)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
28.6% (7)
+9.6%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Home
44.8% (4,622)
39.9% (882)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zegras
P1
43.6%
40.2%
P2
45.8%
38.0%
P3
42.8%
37.7%
OT
43.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |