Evgeny Kuznetsov vs Trevor Zegras
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 59.5%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 63.0%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 62.7%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Last 5: Kuznetsov 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Kuznetsov
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
0
Kuznetsov
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
2
1
Kuznetsov
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
39.4% (510)
+3.9%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
47.1% (34)
-0.1%
On even strength, Kuznetsov has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Zegras
Home
43.9% (602)
42.3% (272)
Away
43.1% (564)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Zegras
P1
43.2%
37.6%
P2
41.5%
41.5%
P3
45.2%
40.8%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |