Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kuznetsov wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.0% vs Bozak 46.2% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 77.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 71.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.4%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kuznetsov
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (980)
46.7% (338)
-3.4%
Power Play
47.0% (115)
50.0% (6)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (71)
32.6% (43)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kuznetsov is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Bozak
Home
43.9% (602)
47.9% (194)
Away
43.1% (564)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Bozak
P1
43.2%
40.2%
P2
41.5%
51.4%
P3
45.2%
43.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%