Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Minten 48.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 66.7%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 66.4%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 65.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Svechkov
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Svechkov
Minten
Last 6: Svechkov 1-5 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
0
1
Svechkov
Minten
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
2
Svechkov
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
0
2
Svechkov
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
49.6% (603)
-6.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
45.8% (48)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
32.6% (43)
+7.4%
On power play, Minten has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Minten
Home
41.0% (212)
51.6% (322)
Away
44.7% (226)
45.4% (372)
By Period
Svechkov
Minten
P1
36.1%
44.9%
P2
45.4%
46.6%
P3
46.7%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |