Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs McBain 50.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 64.8%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 61.7%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 61.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Svechkov
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Svechkov
McBain
Last 8: Svechkov 3-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Svechkov
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
52.1% (545)
-9.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.1% (14)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.0% (46)
+3.0%
On power play, McBain has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Svechkov
McBain
Home
41.0% (212)
52.2% (289)
Away
44.7% (226)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Svechkov
McBain
P1
36.1%
52.6%
P2
45.4%
53.6%
P3
46.7%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jack McBain |