Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs McBain 46.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 72.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 54.4%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Svechkov
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Svechkov
McBain
Last 8: Svechkov 3-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
3
Svechkov
McBain
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
4
1
Svechkov
McBain
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
4
Svechkov
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
48.0% (2,298)
-7.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
49.0% (51)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
35.7% (308)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Svechkov
McBain
Home
39.2% (393)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
41.3% (380)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Svechkov
McBain
P1
35.6%
46.7%
P2
45.0%
47.5%
P3
40.2%
45.6%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jack McBain |