Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Tavares 57.2% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 72.3%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 73.9%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 74.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Svechkov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Svechkov
Tavares
Last 5: Svechkov 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Svechkov
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
58.0% (914)
-15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.0% (235)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
57.9% (19)
-17.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Tavares
Home
41.0% (212)
57.8% (614)
Away
44.7% (226)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Svechkov
Tavares
P1
36.1%
58.0%
P2
45.4%
56.9%
P3
46.7%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |