Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.2% vs 40.8%). Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Carlsson 41.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Svechkov leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 52.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Svechkov
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Svechkov
Carlsson
Last 10: Svechkov 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
0
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Svechkov
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
41.0% (1,844)
-0.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
42.9% (154)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
35.0% (120)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Carlsson
Home
39.2% (393)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
41.3% (380)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Svechkov
Carlsson
P1
35.6%
43.3%
P2
45.0%
36.5%
P3
40.2%
43.2%
OT
100.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |