Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Carlsson 42.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Svechkov leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 75.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 65.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Svechkov
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Svechkov
Carlsson
Last 10: Svechkov 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
0
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Svechkov
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
41.8% (648)
-5.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
37.3% (51)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.7% (31)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Carlsson
Home
37.0% (181)
44.5% (362)
Away
36.4% (154)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Svechkov
Carlsson
P1
35.1%
46.3%
P2
44.4%
35.1%
P3
30.8%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |