Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.5% vs Jankowski 53.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 53.2%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 53.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 54.4%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Svechkov
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Svechkov
Jankowski
Last 5: Svechkov 2-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Svechkov
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (424)
53.8% (515)
-10.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
41.7% (12)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
57.9% (38)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Svechkov is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Svechkov shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Jankowski
Home
41.0% (212)
53.9% (310)
Away
45.5% (220)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Svechkov
Jankowski
P1
36.4%
54.4%
P2
46.4%
55.7%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
38.0%▼
41.5%
43.3%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |