Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 56.3%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 56.9%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 57.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Svechkov
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Svechkov
Jankowski
Last 5: Svechkov 2-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Svechkov
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
54.1% (527)
-11.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
57.5% (40)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Jankowski
Home
41.0% (212)
53.9% (310)
Away
44.7% (226)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Svechkov
Jankowski
P1
36.1%
54.6%
P2
45.4%
56.3%
P3
46.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |