Fedor Svechkov vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bourque on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Bourque 46.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 73.1%
Defensive zone
Bourque 73.0%
Neutral zone
Bourque 52.7%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Svechkov
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Svechkov
Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Bourque
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
4
Svechkov
Bourque
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Bourque
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
46.7% (508)
-6.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
27.3% (22)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
42.9% (28)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Bourque has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Svechkov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Svechkov shoots left. Bourque is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Bourque
Home
39.2% (393)
47.3% (262)
Away
41.3% (380)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Svechkov
Bourque
P1
35.6%
42.4%
P2
45.0%
42.9%
P3
40.2%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |