Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bourque on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 34.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Bourque 47.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 72.5%
Defensive zone
Bourque 82.3%
Neutral zone
Bourque 55.3%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Svechkov
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Svechkov
Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Bourque
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
4
Svechkov
Bourque
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Bourque
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
46.7% (321)
-9.9%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
33.3% (6)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
42.9% (21)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Bourque has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Svechkov is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Svechkov shoots left. Bourque is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Bourque
Home
37.0% (181)
51.0% (157)
Away
36.4% (154)
42.4% (191)
By Period
Svechkov
Bourque
P1
35.1%
44.2%
P2
44.4%
44.7%
P3
30.8%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |