Fedor Svechkov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 81.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 71.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Last 6: Svechkov 4-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Svechkov
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
46.1% (11,218)
-5.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
53.3% (1,412)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
42.8% (502)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Svechkov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Svechkov shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Svechkov
MacKinnon
Home
39.2% (393)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
41.3% (380)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Svechkov
MacKinnon
P1
35.6%
47.4%
P2
45.0%
46.6%
P3
40.2%
46.1%
OT
100.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |