Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Dowd 49.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 88.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 60.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Svechkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Svechkov
Dowd
Last 10: Svechkov 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Svechkov
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Svechkov
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Svechkov
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
51.7% (644)
-8.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
0.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.6% (221)
-1.6%
On power play, Svechkov has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Svechkov is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Svechkov shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Dowd
Home
41.0% (212)
48.6% (451)
Away
44.7% (226)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Svechkov
Dowd
P1
36.1%
49.1%
P2
45.4%
47.3%
P3
46.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |