Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Foligno 49.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 68.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 57.0%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Svechkov
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Svechkov
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
0
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
49.0% (261)
-6.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.1% (42)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.1% (51)
-7.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Foligno
Home
41.0% (212)
48.9% (178)
Away
44.7% (226)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Svechkov
Foligno
P1
36.1%
40.4%
P2
45.4%
55.8%
P3
46.7%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |