Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Foligno 48.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 78.1%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 76.4%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 76.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Svechkov
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Svechkov
Foligno
Last 9: Svechkov 2-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Svechkov
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
4
Svechkov
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Svechkov
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
48.3% (2,810)
-7.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
52.3% (730)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
44.0% (455)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Svechkov shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Foligno
Home
39.2% (393)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
41.3% (380)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Svechkov
Foligno
P1
35.6%
47.6%
P2
45.0%
50.4%
P3
40.2%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |