Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Roy 48.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 72.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Svechkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Svechkov
Roy
Last 9: Svechkov 4-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
4
2
Svechkov
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Svechkov
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Svechkov
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
48.7% (3,719)
-8.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
49.5% (283)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
45.5% (477)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Svechkov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Svechkov shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Roy
Home
39.2% (393)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
41.3% (380)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Svechkov
Roy
P1
35.6%
50.8%
P2
45.0%
46.3%
P3
40.2%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |