Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Strome 44.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 59.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 56.6%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Svechkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Svechkov
Strome
Last 5: Svechkov 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Svechkov
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
44.1% (6,839)
-3.7%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
49.3% (854)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
41.5% (410)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Svechkov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Svechkov shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Strome
Home
39.2% (393)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
41.3% (380)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Svechkov
Strome
P1
35.6%
44.0%
P2
45.0%
45.3%
P3
40.2%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |