Scouting Report
Fedor Svechkov holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Wright 41.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 54.0%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 70.3%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 59.2%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Svechkov
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Svechkov
Wright
Last 6: Svechkov 4-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Svechkov
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
0
Svechkov
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
39.5% (453)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.4% (59)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Svechkov has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Svechkov is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Svechkov shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Wright
Home
41.0% (212)
39.5% (286)
Away
44.7% (226)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Svechkov
Wright
P1
36.1%
39.9%
P2
45.4%
37.1%
P3
46.7%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |