Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 41.4% vs Wright 43.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 52.4%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 50.2%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 54.0%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Svechkov
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Svechkov
Wright
Last 9: Svechkov 4-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Svechkov
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
2
3
Svechkov
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (748)
42.6% (1,318)
-2.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
45.8% (131)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Svechkov is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Svechkov shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Wright
Home
39.2% (393)
44.2% (746)
Away
41.3% (380)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Svechkov
Wright
P1
35.6%
44.4%
P2
45.0%
40.7%
P3
40.2%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Shane Wright |