Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 44.2% vs Frederic 54.7% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 59.8%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 57.7%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 57.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Svechkov
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Svechkov
Frederic
Last 5: Svechkov 2-3 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Svechkov
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Svechkov
Frederic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (430)
57.6% (151)
-14.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
On power play, Frederic has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Svechkov shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Frederic
Home
41.0% (212)
55.6% (81)
Away
44.7% (226)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Svechkov
Frederic
P1
36.1%
57.7%
P2
45.4%
54.3%
P3
46.7%
60.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |